The Breeders Cup…

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The Breeders Cup is always great to watch, but as a serious betting event a huge note of caution must be sounded….

Betting day in and day out you develop an in depth knowledge of horses, stables, jockeys, trainers, courses, so many variables which come in to play. This knowledge is what gives you the edge. The Breeders Cup is a mine field, not least because it is impossible to know about all the horses in a race, hailing from all four corners of the globe. The market is also completely wrong where a British runner has a decent chance, as the volume of money from the casual punter will be for the British runner, skewing the market.

There is also the small point that drugs, or medication as they call it, comes in to play in good old USA. Lasix is the primary medication, used to stop horses bleeding, outlawed in the Europe, but to level the playing field European runners often run on Lasix, but this does not always have a positive impact! It is a complete and utter mine field, so personally I prefer to watch, for entertainment.

I am not a fan of American jockeys. I will give you an example, MIKE SMITH on Zenyatta. This was total and utter theatrics, to make a name for himself. The notion Zenyatta could not keep up with the pace holds no water whatsoever. It is the worst ride I have ever seen, or am likely to ever see, and I think he should have retired after that ride in shame. Could you imagine that happening here? What if Tom Queally had got Frankel beaten like that? Fortunately Tom is a professional and has no ego. Mike Smith is a disgrace to horseracing Worldwide. He did the punters and put a black mark against one of the finest fillies ever to race. Only in America! Sadly the Breeders Cup is only ever run in gold old USA!

You can say that I can take it or leave it!  That is a personal point of view, and I fully accept that many of our clients like the breeders cup. Having sounded a note of caution and in response to some requests, here are the horses that stand out on the Santa Anita Card…

BREEDERS CUP FILLY AND MARE- 19.43 SATURDAY

NO 3 DANK – I think this is the best bet of the night! Quality mare, quality rider, top yard, this is the one bet I will have. DANK is a MAX BET!

BREEDERS CUP TURF- 22.22 SATURDAY

NO 1 TELESCOPE- What I like about this horse is RYAN MOORE, for me the very best jockey in the world. That can make all the difference, look at THE GREY GATSBY! Sir Michael Stoute is one of the best in the world and my pick here is based on the certainty the horse will be absolutely trained to the minute, with the best jockey aboard. Margins are small, I hope that gives us the edge!

BREEDERS CUP MILE – 23.40 SATURDAY

NO 5 TORONADO– Richard Hannon trains, Richard Hughes rides, great chance but for reasons listed above the price is too short. That said the horse is well drawn and has a huge chance of winning this huge prize. It is hard to assess every horse in detail but clearly this horse has an outsnading chance and vibes from the Hannon camp about their runner is that he is in A1 condition!

BREEDERS CUP CLASSIC- 00:35 SATURDAY

NO 6 SHARED BELIEF– this is one of those horses that is just great! Shared Belief, who was purchased for a sum believed to be between $400,000 and $500,000 last year, is now the 9-5 favourite for Saturday’s $5 million dollar race.  The sale looked like a steal as Shared Belief went on to win all three of his seasonal starts in 2013, including the Hollywood Prevue Stakes and the Grade 1 Futurity to garner the Eclipse Award as the top 2-year-old of the year. However, the investment didn’t look good at the start of the year when an abscess in his right front hoof sidelined the 3-year-old through the entire Triple Crown trail. Rather than try to rush Shared Belief back to the races, the partnership trusted Hollendorfer and let him take his time with the gelding and now is being rewarded for its patience.

Good luck, I hope you enjoy it!

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